The Rw Problem
Learning objectives
- Distinguish the sensitivity of Sw to an input from its uncertainty
- Explain why Rw dominates the Sw error despite lower sensitivity
- List the field sources of Rw error
- Prioritize pinning Rw down before trusting the pay
Sensitive, or Uncertain?
Two different things decide how much an input matters to the final saturation: how strongly responds to it, and how well we actually know it. They are not the same. In elasticity terms , while for porosity . So is actually only half as sensitive to the water resistivity as it is to porosity. On sensitivity alone, should be a minor worry.
Why Rw Still Wins
It wins on the other axis. Porosity we usually know to a couple of porosity units, Rt to perhaps fifteen percent, but can be wrong by a factor of two. The water sample may be contaminated by mud filtrate or have precipitated salts on the way to the lab, the SP may be muted in a fresh or shaly sand, the salinity may drift across the field, and itself swings with temperature. A modest sensitivity multiplied by a large uncertainty beats a large sensitivity multiplied by a small one, and the widget shows the bar opening far wider than the porosity or bars at realistic numbers.
Pinning Rw Down
Because of this, getting right is the highest-value half hour in a saturation job. Take it from a clean produced-water sample measured in the lab, cross-check it against an SP-derived value and a Pickett-plot intercept, scan an minimum across the well, and compare with regional catalogs. Only once the three independent estimates agree is the computed pay worth trusting; until then the saturation is no better than its weakest input.
References
- Asquith, G. and Krygowski, D. (2004). Basic Well Log Analysis, 2nd ed. AAPG Methods in Exploration 16.
- Bateman, R. M. (2012). Openhole Log Analysis and Formation Evaluation, 2nd ed. SPE.