Upscaling Error and Connectivity
Coarsening Has a Cost
Coarsening shrinks the cell count so the simulation runs in reasonable time, but it can erase the features that actually carry the flow. The classic case is a thin, connected high-permeability channel: it can conduct most of the flux even though it occupies little volume.
Losing the Conduit
Once the channel is thinner than a coarse cell, block-averaging blends it into the surrounding shale. The coarse cell takes a middling permeability, the connected high-permeability path is broken, and the upscaled effective permeability falls below the true fine-scale value. The coarser the grid, the more flow the model quietly loses.
Resolve the Flow Paths
The rule is to coarsen only as far as the flow-controlling features can still be resolved, and to use flow-based upscaling, which honors the fine pressure field, where connectivity matters. Comparing the fine and upscaled flow response is the QC: if the upscaled model conducts noticeably less, the coarsening has gone too far.